Italy’s earthquake and a myth

April 6, 2009

Over at Crooks and Liars, there’s a dollop of outrage over the allegation that Italian officials were warned by a scientist about the oncoming earthquake and yet did nothing to save the townspeople of L’Aquila. But here’s the rub, there’s no way to effectively predict an earthquake, period.

I’ve been lucky enough to count a few seismologists as friends, and I remember one conversation when I asked about this, whereupon my friend said, yes, scientists could predict temblors from within a few weeks, then she shrugged, to several hundred years.

Here’s the Reuters account. This story shouldn’t have made it onto the wires.


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